Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 30

TUES | 10 05 2021
Australian wheat vulnerable
to weather adversity
BY DREW LERNER
KANSAS CITY - Another La Niña event
is breathing heavily down the necks of
world agriculture, and another notable
impact on world weather will begin as the
month of October unfolds. Australia could
join a growing list of weather-impacted
wheat production areas around the world
with a potential for damage even though
the crop currently looks extremely good.
La Niña events in Australia traditionally
generate greater-than-usual rainfall
across eastern portions of the nation.
Queensland has been in the grip of
short period of relief, and Queensland
has been struggling with dryness ever
since.
A new La Niña event is expected
this month, and it will be an aggressive
event changing weather patterns
around the world in less than six weeks.
Some of the changes will be significant.
The first change that will be noted
around the world will be in the tropics,
with central Africa coffee, cocoa, sugar
cane, rice and cotton areas becoming
unusually wet. The same is expected in
Queensland because La Niña's greatest
rainfall influence may occur simultaneously
with the harvest season in those
areas.
Farmers are hoping that the delayed
start to La Niña will delay its influence
on eastern Australia as well. The biggest
worry is that rain frequency will rise
sufficiently to introduce grain quality
declines and wet weather diseases that
could cut into production. If too much rain
falls during the harvest, fieldwork would
be delayed and the risk of head sprouting
could take the current
crop, which is still
advertised to be the
second largest on
record, and reduce it
to feed grain.
In some La Niña
events, summer rainfall
in Queensland
has been significant
enough to induce
massive flooding of
its farmland. Some
of those heavy rain
events of the past have
harmed cotton and
sorghum production,
drought for many years and still has notable
soil moisture and water supply shortages
that already have hurt the reproduction
of wheat and barley this year. The
drought in Queensland has become the
" new normal " as the world likes to call
significant change that occurs without
reversion. The truth of the matter is that
La Niña events in the past have induced
some impressive rain events during the
spring and summer seasons, and that
could happen again this year.
Last year's La Niña event was different.
It tried and succeeded (for a little while)
in bolstering soil moisture, but the wetter-biased
conditions never became consistent
enough to fully restore soil moisture.
Drought actually resumed after a
30 MILLING & BAKING NEWS
some oil palm production, coffee, cocoa,
rice and sugar cane areas in Southeast
Asia. Southern India also will be wetter
biased in coming weeks.
The influence of La Niña on the middle
latitudes of the Northern and Southern
Hemispheres will be a little slower evolving
than in the tropics, but change is
coming. For Australia there is already an
expectation for more rain. Precipitation
that evolved in the last days of September
and that is expected early this month will
raise soil moisture. That precipitation is
independent of La Niña. The Queensland
harvest of small grains should occur
before there is much more rain, but there
is more concern over the outlook for New
South Wales and Victoria grains than
but some producers may be looking forward
to that possibility to finally get water
supply restored. For now, the situation is
just speculation, but World Weather, Inc.
believes rain in eastern Australia will be
much heavier than last year, and a notable
improvement in soil moisture and water
supply is expected. However, some of that
recovery will come at a cost and that may
be to harm winter and summer crop production
in some areas.
In the meantime, the coming La Niña
also will influence other Southern
Hemisphere crop areas. A combined
impact from La Niña, the 22-year solar
cycle and the 18-year cycle will result in
below-average precipitation from southern
Paraguay, portions of Parana, Santa
bakingbusiness.com
WEATHER update
©JULIASUDNITSKAYA - STOCK.ADOBE.COM AND WORLD WEATHER
http://www.bakingbusiness.com

Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021

Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - Intro
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 1
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 2
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 3
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 4
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 5
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 6
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 7
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 8
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 9
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 10
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 11
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 12
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 13
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 14
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 15
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 16
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 17
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 18
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 19
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 20
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 21
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 22
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 23
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 24
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 25
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 26
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 27
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 28
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 29
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 30
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 31
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 32
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 33
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 34
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 35
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 36
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 37
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 38
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 39
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 40
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 41
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 42
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 43
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 44
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 45
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 46
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 47
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 48
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 49
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 50
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 51
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 52
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 53
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 54
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 55
Milling & Baking News - October 5, 2021 - 56
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