Milling & Baking News - November 17, 2020 - 34

Data

Major flour production rebound
as roller coaster year proceeds

Continued from Page 1

0.3%, from a record 319,153,000 in
January-September 2018.
NASS data are now available for
25 consecutive quarters, or since
July-September 2014, when NASS
took over from the North American
Millers' Association.
US 24-hour capacity in July-September was 1,602,510 cwts, down
21,750 from 1,624,260 in the second

quarter and down 71,700 from a record 1,674,210 a year back. It was
the lowest since the fourth quarter
in 2017 at 1,619,601 cwts.
Flour mill operating rate in JulySeptember was 88%, up from 81.6%
in the second quarter and 82.9%
during the third quarter a year ago.
It was the highest for any quarter since October-December 2017 at
88.4%. The January-September average

January-September
flour production

Third-quarter
operating rate

in 1,000 cwts

300,931
311,773
312,065
310,941
312,604
305,747
314,152
314,218
316,574
316,099
315,623
317,565
319,153
314,357
318,351

95%

'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

2012 - 93.2%
90%

85%

80%

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Compilation on quarterly production of flour,
grind of wheat, millfeed output on six-day weekly basis

'20

Jul-Sep-20
Apr-Jun-20
Jan-Mar-20

108,583
102,050
107,718

234,199
219,310
233,019

1,678,897
1,557,553
1,646,827

1,602,510
1,624,260
1,614,050

1,410
1,325
1,399

88.0%
81.6%
86.7%

77.3%
77.6%
77.0%

'19

Oct-Dec-19
Jul-Sep-19
Apr-Jun-19
Jan-Mar-19

107,920
106,828
103,929
103,600

232,428
231,775
225,056
223,350

1,624,974
1,659,494
1,618,622
1,582,201

1,649,750
1,674,210
1,646,760
1,647,831

1,402
1,387
1,350
1,363

85.0%
82.9%
82.0%
82.7%

77.4%
76.8%
77.0%
77.3%

'18

Oct-Dec-18
Jul-Sep-18
Apr-Jun-18
Jan-Mar-18

107,718
108,237
105,304
105,612

231,661
232,938
226,627
227,147

1,628,348
1,628,236
1,594,864
1,606,569

1,642,331
1,642,731
1,642,731
1,641,631

1,399
1,424
1,368
1,372

85.2%
86.7%
83.3%
83.6%

77.5%
77.4%
77.4%
77.5%

'17

Millfeed,
tons

Average
Daily
flour
Per
capacity, per work
cent
cwts
day, cwts operated Extraction

Oct-Dec-17
Jul-Sep-17
Apr-Jun-17
Jan-Mar-17

108,834
108,392
104,468
104,705

235,086
234,279
224,487
223,964

1,641,094
1,641,303
1,578,569
1,586,308

1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601

1,432
1,408
1,357
1,378

88.4%
86.9%
83.8%
85.1%

77.2%
77.1%
77.6%
77.9%

'16

Flour
Wheat
production, ground,
cwts
bus
-(1,000)-

Oct-Dec-16
Jul-Sep-16
Apr-Jun-16
Jan-Mar-16

108,080
107,891
103,823
103,909

232,642
233,391
224,382
224,220

1,659,496
1,687,374
1,613,972
1,595,910

1,619,801
1,619,801
1,615,001
1,615,969

1,404
1,401
1,348
1,349

86.7%
86.5%
83.5%
83.5%

77.4%
77.0%
77.1%
77.2%

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA

34 / November 17, 2020

Milling & Baking News

grind was 85.4%, against 82.5% a
year earlier.
Wheat grind in the third quarter
was 234,199,000 bus, up 1% from
231,775,000 a year ago; it was up
6.8% over 219,310,000 bus in the
second quarter. Aggregate wheat
grind in the first three quarters of
2020 was 686,528,000 bus against
680,181,000 in the same period of
2019, up 0.9%.
The extraction rate for July-September was 77.3%, compared with
77.6% in April-June and 76.8% a
year ago. Extraction for the three
quarters was 77.3% against 77% in
January-September 2019.
Millfeed output in July-September totaled 1,678,897 tons, gaining 1.2% over 1,659,494 tons a year
back. Millfeed production rose 7.8%
from 1,557,553 tons in April-June.
The nine-month total for millfeed
production in 2020 was 4,883,277
tons, against 4,860,317, up 0.5%.
Semolina production in July-September totaled 8,304,000 cwts, up
11% from 7,501,000 cwts in the third
quarter of last year. It was down
9.3% from a record 9,155,000 cwts in
April-June. January-September semolina production totaled a record
25,599,000 cwts, gaining 11% from
23,028,000 a year earlier. Output in
the same three quarters of 2018 was
23,651,000 cwts, which was then the
highest three-quarter number since
the start of NASS data.
Durum grind in the third quarter
aggregated 17,509,000 bus, gaining 10% from 15,928,000 bus a year
ago. It was down 10% from a record
19,436,000 in April-June. JanuarySeptember grind came to 54,261,000
bus, up 12% from 48,415,000 a year
back.
Semolina mills' rate of grind was
81.9% in July-September, down
from a recent record of 88.9% in the
second quarter and 74.2% a year
ago. Extraction for the quarter came
in at 79%, up from 78.5% in AprilJune and a year back.
Flour ex-semolina in July-September totaled 100,279,000 cwts,
up 952,000, or 1%, over 99,327,000
cwts in the third quarter of 2019.
It was the largest quarter since July-September 2018 when production of flour excluding semolina
was 100,360,000 cwts. It was 8%
over 92,895,000 cwts in the second
quarter. January-September totaled
292,752,000 cwts, up 1,423,000, or
0.5%, from 291,329,000 in the first
nine months of 2019. It was down
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