Milling & Baking News - February 9, 2021 - 16

Data

Flour output rises 3 million cwts in
2020; fourth quarter production off
Continued from Page 1

to the coronavirus and resultant surges
and disruptions in flour demand and shipments. Twelve-month flour production
reached a record in the period ended AprilJune 2018, at 428,142,000 cwts. The 2020 aggregate at 425,338,000 was above the 2019
production total of 422,277,000.
To date, flour production in 19 years
has topped 400 million cwts. The first
was in 1997 at 404,143,000 cwts. The last
year in which output fell below that figure was 2005, at 394,973,000 cwts.

Annual US flour production

Annual US flour milling
operating rate

431,250
1,000 cwts

89%
86%
83%
80%

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

412,500
393,750
375,000

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20

'20

Oct-Dec-20
Jul-Sep-20
Apr-Jun-20
Jan-Mar-20

106,987
108,583
102,050
107,718

231,485
234,199
219,310
233,019

1,655,982
1,678,897
1,557,553
1,646,827

1,580,410
1,602,510
1,624,260
1,614,050

1,389
1,410
1,325
1,399

87.9%
88.0%
81.6%
86.7%

77.0%
77.3%
77.6%
77.0%

'19

Oct-Dec-19
Jul-Sep-19
Apr-Jun-19
Jan-Mar-19

107,920
106,828
103,929
103,600

232,428
231,775
225,056
223,350

1,624,974
1,659,494
1,618,622
1,582,201

1,649,750
1,674,210
1,646,760
1,647,831

1,402
1,387
1,350
1,363

85.0%
82.9%
82.0%
82.7%

77.4%
76.8%
77.0%
77.3%

'18

Oct-Dec-18
Jul-Sep-18
Apr-Jun-18
Jan-Mar-18

107,718
108,237
105,304
105,612

231,661
232,938
226,627
227,147

1,628,348
1,628,236
1,594,864
1,606,569

1,642,331
1,642,731
1,642,731
1,641,631

1,399
1,424
1,368
1,372

85.2%
86.7%
83.3%
83.6%

77.5%
77.4%
77.4%
77.5%

'17

Average
Daily
flour
Per
capacity, per work
cent
cwts
day, cwts operated Extraction

Oct-Dec-17
Jul-Sep-17
Apr-Jun-17
Jan-Mar-17

108,834
108,392
104,468
104,705

235,086
234,279
224,487
223,964

1,641,094
1,641,303
1,578,569
1,586,308

1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601

1,432
1,408
1,357
1,378

88.4%
86.9%
83.8%
85.1%

77.2%
77.1%
77.6%
77.9%

'16

Millfeed,
tons

Oct-Dec-16
Jul-Sep-16
Apr-Jun-16
Jan-Mar-16

108,080
107,891
103,823
103,909

232,642
233,391
224,382
224,220

1,659,496
1,687,374
1,613,972
1,595,910

1,619,801
1,619,801
1,615,001
1,615,969

1,404
1,401
1,348
1,349

86.7%
86.5%
83.5%
83.5%

77.4%
77.0%
77.1%
77.2%

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA

16 / February 9, 2021

Milling & Baking News

'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Compilation on quarterly production of flour,
grind of wheat, millfeed output on six-day weekly basis
Flour
Wheat
production, ground,
cwts
bus
-(1,000)-

Annual flour production changes
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
-5,000
-10,000
-15,000
-20,000

450,000

1,000 cwts

92%

NASS statistics have been published for
26 consecutive quarters and six consecutive
years (2015-2020). While 2015-2020 data
were compiled by NASS, only the third
and fourth quarters of 2014 came from
NASS. January-June data of that year originated from a North American Millers' Association (NAMA) panel of the largest US
mills and subsequently were interpolated
by Milling & Baking News to make the data
comparable with earlier statistics compiled
by the US Census Bureau.
NASS also estimated 2020 semolina

output at a record 33,802,000 cwts, up
2,270,000, or 7.2%, from 31,532,000 in
2019. It was 31,951,000 cwts in 2018
and 31,799,000 in 2017. Production was
32,930,000 cwts in 2011 as interpolated by
Milling & Baking News but also 32,747,000
cwts in 2010 and 32,804,000 in 2007 when
the Census still issued annual data.
The 24-hour capacity of US flour mills for
the fourth quarter was estimated at 1,580,410
cwts, down 22,100 cwts from 1,602,510 in
the third quarter and down 69,340, or 4.2%,
from 1,649,750 a year ago. Capacity was the
lowest since 1,578,428 cwts in April-June
2014. The record high for daily capacity was
1,674,210 in July-September 2019.
Based on the NASS data, mills operated

at an average of 86.1% of six-day capacity
in 2020, up from 83.2% in the prior year,
the lowest for NASS data. Calculating
utilization rates based on fourth-quarter
capacity, 2020 grind was 87.4%, up from
83.4% in 2019. Mill operating rate was
90.3% in 2000, the last time it exceeded
90%. In the fourth quarter, mills operated
at 87.9% of capacity, down from 88% in
the third quarter but up from 85% a year
ago. The percentages reflect 308 working
days in a 2020 leap year against 307 working days in 2019 and 2018, in contrast to
306 working days in 2017 (a year that began and ended on Sunday).
Wheat grind in 2020 totaled 918,013,000
bus, up 0.6% from 912,609,000 in 2019.
The high was 944,868,000 bus in 2000.
Millfeed production in 2020 aggregated
6,539,259 tons, up 0.8% from 6,485,291 in
2019. The record was 7,374,115 in 2000.
Durum grind in 2020 aggregated
71,561,000 bus, up 7.7% from 66,450,000 bus
in 2019. It was 67,086,000 in 2018, 66,374,000
bus in 2017 and 66,745,000 in 2016.
Semolina milling capacity in the fourth
quarter totaled 131,730 cwts, unchanged
from the third quarter and against
131,330 a year back. Grind was 80.9% of
capacity in the fourth quarter, compared
with 81.9% in the third quarter and 84.1%
a year ago. A recent high was 88.9% in the
2020 second quarter.
Flour production ex-semolina in 2020
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com


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Milling & Baking News - February 9, 2021

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Milling & Baking News - February 9, 2021

Milling & Baking News - February 9, 2021 - 1
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Milling & Baking News - February 9, 2021 - 48
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http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/milling-baking-news-february-9-2020
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2021_01_26
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2021_01_12
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_12_29
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_12_15
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_12_01
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_11_17
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_11_03
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_10_20
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_10_06
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_09_22
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_09_08
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_08_25
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http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_07_28
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_07_14
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_06_30
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_06_16
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_06_02
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_05_19
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_05_05
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_04_21
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_04_07
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_03_24
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_03_10
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2020_02_25
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_12_31
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_02_03
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_01_06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/mbn_2014_11_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_11_11
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_03_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08-06
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_07_09
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