Milling & Baking News - April 6, 2021 - 41

Ingredient Week
Cash Wheat

HARD WINTER. Premiums on hard
red winter wheat in Kansas City were
unchanged to 35¢ a bu higher. The basis
was unchanged only at 12.8% protein.
The widest gains were posted below
11.4% protein with ordinary wheat spiking 35¢ a bu. Low-protein wheat was in
demand for use in blending. The adjustments left high-protein wheat at a 5¢-abu premium to wheat across the middle
third of the protein scale and built on the
wide gains registered the previous week.
" There's real demand out there, and
mills are going after what few cars are
offered, " a veteran wheat trader said.
Ideas were the stronger cash basis
may encourage increased spot offers
once country elevators catch up on their
wheat shipments destined for application
to contracts, which have been slowed by
tardy car placement by Class I railroads.
" It definitely has the attention of the shipper out there, and (the USDA) report indicated larger wheat stocks than expected, so
it seems evident there's more hard wheat
out there that wants to ship, " a miller said.
Talks about additional wheat coverage stalled as the attention of elevator
managers and millers was riveted on the
drama in the futures market.
The US Department of Agriculture in
its annual Prospective Plantings report issued March 31 raised its estimate of area
planted to hard red winter wheat to 23.2
million acres versus 22.3 million as the
estimate in the Winter Wheat and Canola
Seedings report released on Jan. 12.
Drought conditions across the hard
red winter wheat states stabilized or even
eased, according to the USDA's analysis of the March 30 US Drought Monitor.
Drought conditions stabilized in Kansas
after having improved considerably in
the previous couple weeks. Only 12% of
the state's crop was growing in moderate

No. 1 hard winter
Basis Kansas City May, cents per bu
	
	 Apr. 1		- Change from -		Year	
	
	 Premium		Mar. 26	 Mar. 19		 ago	
Ordinary	120	@	 130	 +35	@	+35	+35	@	 +35	 85	@	 95
11%	 120	@	 130	 +15	@	+15	+15	@	 +15	 91	@	 101
11.2%	 120	@	 130	 +15	@	+15	+15	@	 +15	 91	@	 101
11.4%	 131	@	 141	 +3	@	+3	 +26	@	 +26	115	@	 125
11.6%	 135	@	 145	 +6	@	+6	 +29	@	 +29	130	@	 140
11.8%	 135	@	 145	 +5	@	+5	 +29	@	 +29	130	@	 140
12%	 135	@	 145	 +4	@	+4	 +25	@	 +25	140	@	 150
12.2%	 135	@	 145	 +3	@	+3	 +25	@	 +25	140	@	 150
12.4%	 135	@	 145	 +2	@	+2	 +25	@	 +25	155	@	 165
12.6%	 135	@	 145	 +1	@	+1	 +25	@	 +25	155	@	 165
12.8%	 135	@	145		-		 +25	@	+25	155	@	 165
13%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	173	@	 183
13.2%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	173	@	 183
13.4%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	173	@	 183
13.6%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	183	@	 193
13.8%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	183	@	 193
14%	 140	@	 150	 +5	@	+5	 +37	@	 +37	183	@	 193
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com 	

drought. At the other extreme, all Colorado winter wheat was growing in drought,
but as in the prior week, the intensity of
drought in the state was lessening with
56% growing in severe or extreme drought
compared with 63% a week earlier.
The USDA rated the condition of the
Kansas wheat crop as of March 29 at 7%
excellent, 43% good, 31% fair, 15% poor
and 4% very poor, an improvement from
a week earlier when 45% of the crop was
rated good to excellent. Wheat rated good
to excellent at the end of March was 61%
in Oklahoma, 28% in Texas, 28% in Colorado, 38% in Nebraska and 31% good in
South Dakota. Low ratings in Texas and
Colorado reflected drought effects.
Salina spot wheat bids were 10¢ under
KC May; June, 10¢ under July. Hutchinson spot wheat bids were 10¢ under KC
May; June-July, 10¢ under July. Wichita
elevator bids for nearby were 15¢ under
KC May; new crop, 10¢ under July. Gulf
bids on 12%-protein hard red winter
wheat for nearby were 143¢ over KC May.
HARD SPRING. Premiums on hard red
spring wheat in Minneapolis were 5¢ a
bu higher to 5¢ lower last week.
Wheat movement was limited in the
holiday-shortened week, but mill demand was not urgent.
The USDA in its Prospective Plantings
report said farmers intend to plant 11.7
million acres to spring wheat other than
durum this year, down 4% from 2020. Of
the forecast total, 10.9 million acres will
be planted to hard red spring wheat.

No. 1 hard spring

Seventy-eight percent of the spring
wheat crop will be planted in areas currently beset by drought, according to
the USDA's analysis of the March 30 US
Drought Monitor. All spring wheat areas
in North Dakota were in drought with
85% in severe to extreme drought.
Spring wheat stocks held in the twin
ports of Duluth, Minn., and Superior,
Wis., on March 28 totaled 18,886,000 bus,
up 230,000 bus from a week earlier.
	
SOFT RED. Mill bids on soft red winter
wheat across the Central states remained
mostly firm. St. Louis-area mill bids on
soft red winter wheat through May were
40¢ over Chicago May. Toledo mill bids
through May were the Chicago May price;
June-July, the July price. Elevator bids were
the Chicago May price; new crop, 5¢ under July. The Cincinnati elevator was not
accepting old crop; new crop was bid 5¢
over Chicago July. Michigan white wheat
mill bids were the Chicago May price to 5¢
over; new crop bids ranged from the July
price to 10¢ over. Michigan soft red winter
wheat bids were 15¢ under Chicago May;
new crop, 10¢ to 15¢ under Chicago July.
Gulf bids on soft red winter for nearby
were 100¢ over Chicago May.
Only Illinois provided an update to its
winter wheat condition ratings at the end
of March. The crop there was rated 70%
good to excellent versus 61% a year ago.
The USDA in its annual Prospective
Plantings raised its estimate of area planted
to soft red winter wheat to 6.42 million acres
from 6.23 million as the January estimate. MBN

Basis Minneapolis May, delivered Chicago\beyond cents
	 per bu 	 Apr. 1		 - Change from -		
Year
	
	 Premium		 Mar. 26	 Mar. 19		 ago
Ordinary		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	
11%		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	
12%		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	
13%		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	
13.5%		100		 -			+5		105	
14%	
110	@	120	 +5	@	-5	
+5	@	+15	 110	@	120
14.5%		120	
+5	@	0	 +35	@	+30		...	
15%	
105	@	140	
0	@	-5	
-5	@	+10	 105	@	140
16%		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	
17%		. . .			. . .			. . .			...	

Exporter bids and offers

For
shipment

Apr. 1
Bid

Offer

No. 1 Hard 12%, Track Gulf
Basis Kansas City future, cents per bu
April	
+143	May	
153	
May	
+144	May	
154	
June	
+145	July	
155	
July	
+145	July	
155	
No. 2 Soft Red, c.i.f. New Orleans
Basis Chicago future, cents per bu
April	
+100	May	
110	
May	
+95	 May	
105	
June	
+60	 July	
68	
July	
+60	 July	
68	

Year ago
bid

+150 May
+150 May
+150 July
+150 July
+64	 May
+65	May
+55	July
+55	July

No. 1 hard winter premiums, 12.2%

Basis Kansas City, cents per bu
175
155
135
115
95
A

J

O

J

Cash wheat
Apr. 1 - Change from - Year
For shipment
Bid Mar. 26 Mar. 19
ago
No. 1 Soft White, Track, Portland
$ per bu
April	
7.70	 -	 +.25	6.00
May	
7.65	 -	 +.35	6.06
June	
7.50	 -	 +.20	6.10
No. 1 Hard 11.5%, Track, Portland
Basis Kansas City future, $ per bu
April	
1.20	 -	 -	1.70
May	
1.25	 -	 -	1.70
June	
1.20	 -	 -.05	1.65
No. 1 Spring 14%, Track, Portland
Basis Minneapolis future, $ per bu
April	
1.25	 -	 +.05	1.35
May	
1.25	 -	 +.05	1.35
June	
1.25	
. . .	
. . .	
1.30
Milling & Baking News

April 6, 2021 / 41


http://www.bakingbusiness.com http://www.world-grain.com

Milling & Baking News - April 6, 2021

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