Milling & Baking News - May 8, 2018 - 11

Business

Small Kansas wheat in good shape,
but developing behind normal
Manhattan, scouts managed to stop at
two to three muddy fields per vehicle
along one of six routes and examine
wheat progress in the aftermath of a
May 2 weather event, which more than
one industry veteran called a "milliondollar rain."
From Thursday's 43 stops, scouts
calculated an average of 39.8 bus
per acre, up 13% from the previous
day's estimate, but down 19% from
the same routes estimated in 2017.
Combining the three days of the
tour, an average of 37 bus per acre
was estimated from 644 total stops,
down 24% from 48.6 bus per acre
based on 469 stops during the 2017
wheat tour.
Romulo Lollato, assistant professor of agronomy, wheat and forage
extension specialist with Kansas
State University, said that the biggest takeaway is that the crop is
proceeding significantly behind
normal.
"Some fields we examined this
morning in hood stage were likely
at grain fill stage last year," he said.
"The crop is going to start grain fill
in about two weeks. The problem
is we're already going to be much
warmer, so that puts us with 25 days
of grain fill instead of 40 to 45 days
we were seeing last year."
Echoing producers that scouts
spoke with along the tour, Mr. Lollato said rain is crucial to the crop
moving forward.
"The crop from hood stage on
is going to use 0.2 to 0.3 inches of
moisture per day," he said. "Ideally
we would have an inch and a half
every week."
Stripe rust disease, while minimal
in wheat inspected by scouts April
30-May 3, still has the potential to
damage production, Mr. Lollato
cautioned.
"We had stripe rust reported in
Oklahoma a few weeks back, and
we had a few rainfall events that
come north from Texas to Oklahoma
to Kansas and bring some of those
spores," he said noting the evidence
takes a few weeks to materialize in
wheat plants and producers' choice
to spray additional fungicide is
complicated by the limited yield potential.
Aaron Harries, executive vice-president of research and operations for
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com

the Kansas Wheat Commission, said
the statewide crop was one of the
worst he has seen on a wheat tour.
"It's short in stature, and it's going to be short in bushels," Mr. Harries said. "I was surprised by the

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to better understand wheat market
movement in 2018.
"Learning about what's happening
weather-wise with wheat and looking at the speculation in the market,
it's crazy right now," he said. "Looking at what's going to happen with
the wheat in June and in the July harvest will help me make decisions for
our business units as we make some

Producer Gary Millershaski discusses wheat quality in a field a half mile southwest of
Walton, Kas., May 3 with Janet Bear of Frontier Ag Inc., Goodland, Kas., and Evan
Backhus of White Energy, Russell, Kas. Scouts estimated bus per acre for this field at 32.

consistency of the poor progress.
On a given year we see high yielding fields on one side of the road,
low yielding on the other. This year
is consistently low yielding."
Brief jaunts into adjacent hard
winter growing states offered additional information to the grain supply chain. Southwest Nebraska and
northeast Colorado are in a pocket
with northwest Kansas that appeared
to have avoided a drought monitor
and is considered normal conditions.
The 2018 tour, presented by the
Wheat Quality Council, hosted 98
participants, including 21 millers,
16 bakers, 15 grain merchandisers,
9 government workers, 9 journalists
and 7 university employees.
An additional 11 tourgoers hail
from other businesses with interests in wheat, including buyers for
Dunkin' Brands and Tyson Foods.
Timothy Paramata, sourcing manager with Tyson in Bentonville,
Ark., made his tour debut in order

informed decisions for the next quarter and for F.Y.19.
"I've been reading a lot about
wheat lately, and everything has been
negative about drought in Kansas
and abroad. So, coming on this tour
has really opened my eyes to find that
if there is rain within the next couple
weeks, it could really change the
whole dynamic of the market."
Dave Green, executive vice-president of the W.Q.C., said he was confident in the yield calculated from
the scouts' work.
"We stopped at almost 650 fields,
so that was a big sampling we did,"
he said. "I like our number a lot. I
think we're right about where we
ought to be for the May estimate. It's
a long way to harvest, and either the
crop is going get better or worse, and
we hope it gets better. It needs some
timely rains, and it needs to avoid
the heat for the next 30 days or so as
we get into grain filling, and it will
maximize the potential it has." MBN
Milling & Baking News

May 8, 2018 / 11


http://www.bakingbusiness.com http://www.world-grain.com

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Milling & Baking News - May 8, 2018

http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_04_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_03_26
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_03_12
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_02_26
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_02_12
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_29
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_15
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_01
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_12_18
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_12_04
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_11_20
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_11_06
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_10_23
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_10_09
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_09_25
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_09_11
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_08_24
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_08_14
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_31
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_17
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_03
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_06_19
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_06_05
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_05_22
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_05_08
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_04_24
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_04_10
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_03_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_03_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_02_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_02_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_12_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_12_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_11_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_11_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_10_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_10_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_09_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_09_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_07_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_07_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_06_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_06_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_05_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_05_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_04_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_04_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_03_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_03_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_02_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_02_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_31
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_12_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_12_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_11_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_11_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_10_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_10_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_09_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_09_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_07_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_07_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_06_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_06_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_05_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_05_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_04_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_04_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_02_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_02_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_01_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_01_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_12_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_12_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_11_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_11_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_10_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_10_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_08_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_08_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_07_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_07_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_06_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_06_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_05_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_05_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_04_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_04_014
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_03_31
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_03_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/mbn/2015_03__03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_02_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_02_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_01_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_01_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/mbn_2014_11_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_11_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_10_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_10_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/214_08_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_08_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_03_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_03_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08-06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_07_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_07_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_06_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_06_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_05_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_05_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_03_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_03_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_02_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_02_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_01_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_01_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_12_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_12_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_11_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_11_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_09_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_09_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_08_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_08_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_07_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_07_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_06_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_06_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_04_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_04_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_03_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_03_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_02_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_02_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_01_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_01_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_12_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_12_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_11_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_11_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_11_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_10_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_10_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_09_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_09_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_08_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_08_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_07_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_07_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_06_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_06_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_05_31
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_05_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_05_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_04_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_04_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_03_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_03_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_02_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_02_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_01_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_01_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_12_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_12_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_11_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_11_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_11_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_10_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_10_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_09_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_09_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_08_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_08_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_07_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_07_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_06_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_06_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_06_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_05_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_05_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_04_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_04_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_03_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_03_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_02_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_02_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_01_26
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2010_01_12
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_12_29
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_12_15
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_12_01
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_11_17
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_11_03
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_10_20
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_10_06
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_09_22
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_09_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_08_25
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_08_11
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_07_28
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_07_14
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_06_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_06_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_06_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_05_19
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_05_05
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_04_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_04_08
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_04_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_03_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_03_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_02_24
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_02_10
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_01_27
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2009_01_13
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_12_30
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_12_16
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_12_02
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_11_18
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_11_04
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_10_21
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_10_07
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_09_23
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_09_09
http://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2008_08_26
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